Midwest #1 Michigan will meet West #1 Arizona in the 2026 Final Four
The opening point spread is razor thin
See the Arizona vs Michigan opening odds (spread, moneyline, and total)
The heaviest of heavyweights will collide in the 2026 Final Four when the Midwest #1 Michigan Wolverines (35-3SU, 18-20 ATS) meet the West #1 Arizona Wildcats (36-2 SU, 23-14-1 ATS).
Michigan and Arizona were the top-two favorites in the March Madness championship odds entering the Sweet 16 and they remain 1-2 entering the Final Four. They also sit first and second at KenPom, with the Wildcats rated slightly higher.
Fittingly, the opening Michigan vs Tennessee odds are as close as they get.
Opening Odds for Arizona vs Michigan (Final Four)
| Bet Type | Arizona | Michigan |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | -110 | -110 |
| Spread | +1.5 (-124) | -1.5 (+102) |
| Total | O 157.5 (-110) | U 157.5 (-110) |
The opening Michigan/Arizona moneyline at FanDuel lists both teams at -110. Michigan is -1.5 ATS but with a price of +102. Arizona is +1.5 is -124). The game total has opened at 157.5 with -110 odds both ways.
At prediction site Kalshi, Arizona is priced at 51¢ (-104 odds) to reach the national championship game, with Michigan at 50¢ (+100 odds). That’s equivalent to a -113/+104 moneyline in the Wildcats’ favor.
Odds as of pm ET at Kalshi and FanDuel. Claim SBD’s Kalshi promo code. See the Opening Illinois vs UConn odds.
Arizona punched its ticket to the Final Four with a 79-64 win over #2 Purdue, overcoming a seven-point halftime deficit in the process. Freshman Koa Peat had a game-high 20 points and Arizona’s defense held the Boilermakers to just 39.0% shooting from inside the arc.
Before the dominant second-half comeback against Purdue, the Wildcats raced past #4 Arkansas (109-88) in the Sweet 16, #9 Utah State (78-66) in the second round, and #16 LIU (92-58) in the first round.
Michigan took down #4 Alabama (90-77) in the Sweet 16, #9 Saint Louis (95-72) in round two, and #16 Howard (101-80) in round one. In Sunday’s Elite Eight, they put the boots to #6 Tennessee (95-62).
ARI vs MICH H2H Stats
| Arizona | Stat | Michigan |
|---|---|---|
| 36-2 | Record | 34-3 |
| 86.5 | PPG | 85.7 |
| 68.8 | Opp PPG | 68.4 |
| 50.3% | FG% | 51.0% |
| 36.7% | 3P% | 36.8% |
| 73.5% | FT% | 74.3% |
| 39.8 | RPG | 36.0 |
| 11.6 | ORPG | 9.2 |
| 16.7 | APG | 18.4 |
| 10.4 | TOPG | 11.2 |
| 7.3 | SPG | 5.4 |
| 4.3 | BPG | 6.0 |
| 16.0 | 3PA/G | 24.5 |
| 26.8 | FTA/G | 22.2 |
| 42.4 | Paint PPG | 38.5 |
Bookmarks SBD’s college basketball odds page to see how the line moves before Saturday’s game in Indianapolis.