Tennessee forced a winner-take-all Game 3 in the 2024 College World Series with a 4-1 win over Texas A&M
With both teams likely to have their number-two starters on the mound, the top-ranked Volunteers are sizable favorites to win the national championship
See the Game 3 Texas A&M vs Tennessee odds, predictions, and probable pitchers on Monday, June 24
The Texas A&M Aggies (53-14) were on the verge of their first-ever national championship on Sunday, holding a 1-0 lead on the high-octane Tennessee Volunteers (58-13) with just three innings to play. But a pair of two-run homers in the seventh and eighth put the Vols on top, forcing a decisive Game 3 in the 2024 College World Series final.
The winner-take-all game is scheduled for 6:00 pm CT/7:00 pm ET at Charles Schwab Field in Omaha on Monday, June 24. The Volunteers, who were +260 favorites to win the eight-team College World Series at the outset of the tournament, are now -220 chalk to win their first-ever national championship in Monday’s Texas A&M vs Tennessee Game 3 odds.
Texas A&M vs Tennessee Game 3 Odds
| Team | Moneyline | Runline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Texas A&M Aggies | +170 | +1.5 (-100) | O 10 (-115) |
| Tennessee Volunteers | -220 | -1.5 (-130) | U 10 (-115) |
The Aggies come back as +170 underdogs while the run total remains at 10.5, despite an uncharacteristically low-scoring game on Sunday afternoon.
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The starting pitching matchup for Game 3 is all but certain. The Aggies will send number-two starter Justin Lamkin to the bump opposite UT #2 Zander Sechrist.
Both have been solid in Omaha. Sechrist pitched 6.1 innings in a 7-2 win over Florida State on Wednesday, allowing just two runs on five hits and a walk with three Ks. That’s been his only action at the CWS so far.
Lamkin’s last outing was downright dazzling, pitching 5.0 shutout innings against Florida last Wednesday with just three hits, one walk, and nine strikeouts. Lamking also pitched 3.0 shutout innings against the Gators on Saturday, June 15.
Both Sechrist’s and Lamkin’s last starts sent their respective teams to the championship series.
Justin Lamkin vs Zander Sechrist
Lamkin
VS
Sechrist
| 3-2 | Record | 5-1 |
| 63 | IP | 72.2 |
| 5.00 | ERA | 3.22 |
| 1.254 | WHIP | 1.177 |
| 12.29 | K/9 | 8.60 |
| 4.30-to-1 | K-to-BB Ratio | 4.60-to-1 |
Neither Lamkin nor Sechrist has faced the other team this season. Prior to the CWS, the Aggies and Vols only met once this year, with UT eliminating A&M in the third round of the SEC Tournament (7-4).
The Aggies used five pitchers on Sunday, including 4.1 innings from top reliever Chris Cortez, who threw 99 pitches without surrendering a run.
The Vols’ bullpen will be in a similar position in Game 3: UT used four pitchers, including 4.0 innings of shutout ball from Aaron Combs, their best middle-inning arm.
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Texas A&M vs Tennessee Prediction & Picks
Lamkin possesses better strikeout stuff than his Tennessee counterpart but Sechrist has been a more effective pitcher overall this year, and there is no question which lineup is more potent. The Vols are averaging 2.56 home runs per game this season (versus 2.05 for the Aggies) and Tennessee’s comeback on Sunday was propelled by longballs.
Yet, at +170, the Aggies are offering better value. Their implied win probability is just 37.04%, while UT’s -220 price tag carries a 68.75% implied win probability.
If Lamkin continues to pitch the way he has in his first eight-plus innings in Omaha, the Aggies are going to – at the very least – keep Game 3 close.
Texas A&M vs Tennessee Game 3 pick: Texas A&M +1.5 (-100)
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