Tommy Paul vs Carlos Alcaraz Prediction, Odds & Picks for June 3

Spain’s Carlos Alcaraz is a heavy -1400 favorite to down American Tommy Paul in the French Open quarterfinals Alvarez has won three straight head-to-head matches against Paul See my Paul vs Alcaraz picks and predictions, along with the odds for the French Open quarterfinal A trip to the French Open...

April 17, 2026 • 6:31 AM

Spain’s Carlos Alcaraz is a heavy -1400 favorite to down American Tommy Paul in the French Open quarterfinals

Alvarez has won three straight head-to-head matches against Paul

See my Paul vs Alcaraz picks and predictions, along with the odds for the French Open quarterfinal

A trip to the French Open semifinals is on the line on Tuesday as American Tommy Paul, the #12 seed, takes on #2 seed and defending champion Carlos Alcaraz.

It’s the first time an American has hit the quarters on the clay courts of Roland Garros since 2003, when Andre Agassi did it. There are actually two Americans in the quarterfinals, which hasn’t happened since 1996. (Find Francis Tiafoe vs Lorenzo Musetti picks here.)

Paul is a massive underdog in this one, which is set to get underway at 2:15pm ET on Court Philippe-Chatrier in Paris, France, with TBS/truTV/TNT and Max providing the broadcast coverage.

Tommy Paul vs Carlos Alcaraz

Bet TypePaulAlcaraz
Moneyline +700 -1400
Spread +7.5 (-135) -7.5 (+105)
Total Games O 32.5 (-115) U 32.5 (-115)

Alcaraz checks in as a -1400 favorite on the moneyline, with a Paul upset priced at +700 odds. The Spaniard is also a 7.5-game favorite on the spread, and there might be some value there. Perhaps the best line to target here is the total, which is set at 32.5 games.

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