It is Athletico Paranaense vs Bragantino in the Copa Sudamericana Final on Saturday, November 20 at 3:00 pm ET
Both teams breezed through their semis but have struggled recently in the league
We preview the game, look at the odds, and offer some picks below
It is an all-Brazilian affair as Athletico Paranaense and Bragantino meet on Saturday, November 20, at 3:00 pm ET in the Estadio Centenario, Montevideo, in the Copa Sudamericana final – South American’s second-tier club football tournament.
Both teams coasted through to this final with relatively straightforward semifinal wins, with Paranaense now looking to win the competition for the first time since 2018, while Bragantino is looking to win the trophy for the first time in their history.
We list the odds, preview Athletico Paranaense vs Bragantino, and offer below the best picks for this Copa Sudamericana Final.
Athletico Paranaense vs Bragantino Odds
| Matchup | Spread | Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Athletico Paranaense vs Bragantino | ATH -1 (+380) | BRA +1 (-571) | ATH +175 | DRAW +220 | BRA +163 | Ov 2.5 (+125) | Un 2.5 -163) |
Odds as of November 20 at Bet365
Paranaense in Lowly 13th
It has not been a particularly standout season for Alberto Valentim’s Athletico Paranaense, and on the domestic front, they lie a disappointing 13th in the Brasileiro. They head into this final off the back of two defeats – the first a disappointing 2-1 away defeat at mid-table Internacional, the second a narrow 1-0 loss to the leaders Atlético Mineiro – but oddly will take confidence from the second of those as it saw them take the champions-elect Mineiro all the way.
While those two defeats left them in the bottom half of the table, they are still only a point outside the Copa Sudamericana places and so are well placed to compete in this competition next season even if they lose this final.
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Fine Semi Win Over Penarol
Paranaense made it to the final thanks to a two-legged semi-final win over Uruguay’s Club Atletico Penarol; winning the away leg 2-1 (goals from Terans and Rocha) and finishing the job off at home one week later with a 2-0 win with goals from Nikao and Rocha again.
Valentim will need his men to draw confidence and belief from that semifinal win as they prepare to go toe-to-toe with opponents who are nine places higher and 11 points better off than them in the league.
Athletico Paranaense vs Bragantino Head-to-Head Stats
Athletico Paranaense
VS
Bragantino
| 11-12-10 | Brasileiro – Record to Date | 13-13-8 |
| 35 | Goals For | 50 |
| 34 | Goals Against | 40 |
| L-D-W-W-L-L | Form Guide | W-L-L-L-W-L |
| 13th | Position in Table | 4th |
Barbieri’s Men Lose Four of Last Five
While Mauricio Barbieri’s team is currently on an inconsistent run of form, losing four out of their last five league games, they are still riding high in the Brasileiro table in fourth and are currently on course to earn themselves a place in next season’s Copa Libertadores. Worth noting though is that one of the four defeats mentioned above was against Saturday’s opponents and was only 13 days ago.
On that day, despite enjoying 59 percent of the possession, Bragantino succumbed to a 60th-minute goal from Marcinho and an injury-time clincher from Pedro Rocha. Barbieri will no doubt use that chastening experience to motivate his players for this one, as well as using the lessons learned from that game to tweak the set-up of his team and his tactics.
Fine Year for Berhalter’s Men
In their most recent outing, on Tuesday evening, Bragantino suffered a disappointing 3-0 defeat away at relegation-threatened Gremio. While it could be argued this disappointing result (and performance) can be attributed to them having one eye on this final, it must have had a negative effect on their confidence.
This poor run of form has come at the worst possible time for Barbieri’s men, and it is also worth noting that their fine semifinal performance – an excellent 5-1 aggregate win over Libertad – took place way back in September, when they were flying. As well as this being the technical challenge of trying to overcome a team who beat less than two weeks ago, they also need, from somewhere, to try and rediscover the belief that has taken them into the top four.
Athletico Paranaense vs Bragantino Prediction
In terms of form, there is little to choose between these two – both have suffered in recent weeks, possibly as a result of this upcoming final – but the recent win in this fixture for Athletico may have a bearing on the final outcome. They will have the confidence from that win and will have taken heart from taking the league leaders so close last week. They also have relatively recent experience of winning this trophy.
With Athletico in plus money for the win in 90 minutes, the +175 offers decent value.
Pick: Athletico Paranaense to win (+175)
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