The Republican candidate is the -255 favorite to win the 2022 Arizona Gubernatorial election
Democrats are given a betting line of +162 to be the winners of the Governor’s chair
Sitting Republican Governor Doug Ducey has reached his term limit and can’t run for re-election
Republicans have made the Arizona Governor’s chair their personal property. It’s been that way for over 15 years. There hasn’t been a Democrat sitting as governor of the Sun Devil State since 2006.
Oddsmakers don’t foresee that fact of life changing. It’s the Republican party that is already established as the -255 odds-on favorite to produce the winner of the 2022 gubernatorial election. This even though neither party has yet to put forth their candidate for the 2022 Arizona gubernatorial race.
2022 Arizona Governor Election Odds
| Party | Odds |
|---|---|
| Republican | -255 |
| Democrat | +162 |
| Other | +5000 |
Odds from Bet365 as of July 18th.
Note that the odds quoted above are from Bet365, a UK and European sportsbook which is permitted to offer political futures. This market is not open to US bettors.
At a betting line of -255, the Republicans are being given an implied probability of victory that works out to 71.83%. A $10 wager on him would return a payout of just $13.90 should they be the party that wins the 2022 Arizona Gubernatorial election.
Current Republican Arizona Governor Doug Ducey has served in the position since 2014. His term limits are up, so he is legally unable to seek another term on the job.
Ducey vs Trump in a Republican Sequel
Ducey and then US President Donald Trump went toe to toe following the 2020 US Presidential election. Trump was claiming the Arizona results were erroneous after Democrat Joe Biden carried the state. As a result, he was demanding that Ducey refuse to certify the results. However, Ducey did indeed certify Biden as the winner in Arizona.
Ever the bitter, vindictive man, Trump is endorsing Cari Lake to be the Republican candidate for Arizona Governor. The former TV news anchor is parroting Trump’s talking points. She insists that the election was stolen from him. Certainly were she to win the Republican primary and then the Arizona Governor’s chair, Lake would prove handy to Trump in the 2024 US Presidential election.
Trump is insisting that he will be seeking the Republican nomination. He’s currently the +128 favorite in the Republican nominee odds. As well, the Republican Party is listed as the -145 chalk in the 2024 US Presidential election odds.
Lake’s opponents and detractors have taken to referring to her as “Fake” Lake. Ducey is backing her opponent, Karrin Taylor Robson. She’s a former member of the Arizona Board of Regents. Robson is also a wealthy GOP donor. She’s refusing to peddle Trump’s lie that the election was stolen from him.
Robson does fall in line with traditional Republican viewpoints on gun control, abortion and immigration. She also has the backing of former US Vice-President Mike Pence.
Hobbs Heading Democratic Race
Current Arizona Secretary of State Katie Hobbs is the clear frontrunner to win the nomination as Democrat candidate for Governor. She previously served as a State Senator.
Her only opponent is Marco Lopez. He’s a small business owner in the state and a 1999 graduate of Arizona University. Lopez is running for office for the first time.
Any Chance for Democrats in Arizona Governor’s Race?
Both parties will be holding primaries on Aug. 2.
Janet Napolitano, in 2006, was the last Democrat to rule as Governor of Arizona. It’s interesting that it figures to be two women running for Governor. Four of the past six Governors of the state were women.
As well, four of the past six Governors of Arizona were also Republicans. However, of all the candidates in this election, Hobbs is the one with the best resume in terms of serving the state. There’s upset potential here that’s worth taking under consideration.
Pick: Democrats (+162)
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