The Boston Bruins (27-25-8) visit the Pittsburgh Penguins (24-28-9) on Saturday, March 1, 2025
The NHL odds have the Bruins as slight +105 road underdogs, with the Penguins favored at -125 on the moneyline
Read below for our Bruins vs Penguins prediction, odds & SGP for Saturday afternoon hockey at PPG Paints Arena
The Boston Bruins and Pittsburgh Penguins meet Saturday afternoon in a cross-conference matchup between two teams looking to snap losing streaks. The puck drops at 3:00 PM ET on ABC with both Original Six clubs desperate for a win.
Boston enters on a five-game slide but Pittsburgh hasn’t fared much better lately, dropping four straight before a comeback OT victory over Philadelphia on Thursday. The NHL betting odds have the Penguins as slim -125 home favorites, with the Bruins at +105 on the moneyline. The total is set at 6 goals, juiced to the over at -115.
Let’s analyze the matchup and determine the best bets in our Bruins vs Penguins prediction for March 1.
Bruins vs Penguins Prediction
While I don’t love either side on the moneyline, I’m backing the Bruins +1.5 on the puck line at -290 odds. Boston has either won outright or covered the +1.5 puck line in 6 straight meetings with Pittsburgh dating back to early last season.
The Bruins’ losing streak is a bit misleading, as all five defeats have come by a single goal, including two in overtime. They outshot the Islanders 39-20 on Thursday, so the effort and process are there. The results should follow.
Conversely, Pittsburgh’s underlying numbers are dreadful. The Penguins have been outshot 75-49 in their last two games and outscored 23-13 over their past four. If not for a frantic comeback against the lowly Flyers, they’d be riding a five-game skid of their own.
Neither team has an elite goalie, as Boston’s Jeremy Swayman and Pittsburgh’s Alex Nedeljkovic both own save percentages below .900. That levels the playing field and likely makes this anyone’s game, which is why I prefer the Bruins on the puck line over the riskier moneyline wager.
Penguins goalie Alex Nedeljkovic was LIVID after getting pulled against the Flyers 😳🤬 pic.twitter.com/4BC3NMGSqd
— Gino Hard (@GinoHard_) February 28, 2025
The over also has some appeal given the Penguins’ defensive woes. Pittsburgh has allowed 5+ goals in three of the last four games. Boston’s offense has struggled to finish chances lately, but that could change against the Penguins’ sieve-like defense and AHL-caliber goalie.
Bruins vs Penguins Best Bet:
Bruins +1.5 Puck Line (-290 at Bet365)
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Bruins vs Penguins Odds
| Bet Type | Boston Bruins | Pittsburgh Penguins |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | +105 | -125 |
| Spread | +1.5 (-290) | -1.5 (+225) |
| Total | O 6 (-115) | U 6 (-105) |
The Penguins are narrow home favorites at -125 on the moneyline, with the Bruins coming back at +105. Boston is a heavy -290 favorite to cover the +1.5 puck line in a loss or win outright. Pittsburgh is +225 to win by 2+ goals.
The total is set at 6 goals, with the Over juiced to -115 and the Under at -105. The juice on the Over indicates some lean towards a higher-scoring game, which aligns with both teams’ recent defensive struggles and the absence of elite netminders.
A tie game after regulation (a fairly common NHL outcome) would return roughly +310 odds. If you like Boston to win a low-scoring, one-goal game in regulation, you can get +600 odds on 2-1 or 3-2 correct score bets.
Odds courtesy of Bet365 Sportsbook as of March 1, 2025. Claim the Bet365 bonus code and wager on Bruins-Penguins.
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Bruins vs Penguins Betting Trends
Penguins Betting Trends
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Pittsburgh’s last 5 games
Pittsburgh are 1-4 SU in their last 5 games
Pittsburgh are 2-6 SU in their last 8 home games
Pittsburgh are 2-5 SU in their last 7 home games vs Boston
Bruins Betting Trends
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Boston’s last 6 games
Boston are 0-5 SU in their last 5 games
Boston are 5-2 SU in their last 7 games vs Pittsburgh
Boston are 1-10 SU in their last 11 road games
Boston are 4-1 SU in their last 5 road games vs Pittsburgh
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