The Toronto Raptors and Cleveland Cavaliers will meet in a best-of-seven first-round series
The Raptors won all three regular-season meetings but the Cavaliers are heavy favorites
See the Raptors/Cavaliers series odds, plus early picks and predictions
The #5 Toronto Raptors (46-36, 24-17 home, 22-19 away, 42-40 ATS) and #4 Cleveland Cavaliers (52-30, 27-14 home, 25-16 away, 33-49 ATS) are set to square off in a best-of-seven first-round series in the 2026 NBA playoff bracket.
The Cavaliers have opened as massive betting favorites to advance.
Raptors vs Cavaliers Series Odds
| Market | TOR | CLE |
|---|---|---|
| Series Price | +500 | -700 |
| Game Spread | +2.5 (+115) | -2.5 (-140) |
| Total Games | Ov 5.5 (+125) | Un 5.5 (-150) |
The Cavaliers opened as -900 favorites with the Raptors +600 longshots. Just minutes after the price opened, however, the Cavs series moneyline faded to -700 while Toronto’s improved to +500. That still gives Cleveland an 87.5% implied win probability, compared to 16.67% for Toronto, but it’s still a slight confidence-booster for the underdog.
Odds as of 6:56 pm ET at DraftKings. Claim the DraftKings promo code before betting on the 2026 NBA playoffs.
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The schedule for the series has yet to bet released. Games 1 and 2 will take place in Cleveland with Games 3 and 4 north of the border. If there’s a Game 5, it will be back in Cleveland, with Game 6 in Toronto, and a decisive Game 7 in Cleveland.
TOR vs CLE Regular-Season Results
CLE vs TOR H2H Results
| Date | Location | Result | ATS Result | Total O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2025 | @ CLE | TOR 112, CLE 101 | TOR +4 | Under (237.5) |
| Nov 13, 2025 | @ CLE | TOR 126, CLE 113 | CLE -7.5 | Over (238.5) |
| Nov 24, 2025 | @ TOR | TOR 110, CLE 99 | TOR -1.5 | Under (231.5) |
Toronto won all three regular-season meetings, and covered the spread in each one. But take that with a grain of salt. All three games took place the first six weeks of the season. These teams haven’t seen each other since November 24th.
Toronto hasn’t been in the playoffs since 2022, when they lost 4-2 to the 76ers in the first round. The Raps’ last postseason series victory was in 2020, when they swept the Nets in the first round before losing 4-3 to the Celtics in the East semis.
The Cavs are back in the playoffs for the fourth straight season, and they’ll be looking to advance to the second round for the third straight year. In 2025, Cleveland swept Miami 4-0 as the #1 seed. In 2024, they won an epic seven-game series with Orlando, coming back from 18 down.
Raptors vs Cavaliers Team Stats
| Toronto | Statistic | Cleveland |
|---|---|---|
| 46-36 | Record | 52-30 |
| 114.6 | PPG | 119.5 |
| 111.8 | Opp PPG | 115.4 |
| 115.0 | Off Rtg | 118.3 |
| 112.1 | Def Rtg | 114.1 |
| +2.9 | Net Rtg | +4.1 |
| 101.0 | Pace | 102.4 |
| .546 | eFG% | .561 |
| .540 | Opp eFG% | .543 |
| .482 | FG% | .482 |
| .354 | 3P% | .360 |
| .769 | FT% | .776 |
| 32.1 | 3PA/G | 39.8 |
| 10.9 | OREB/G | 11.7 |
| 31.2 | DREB/G | 32.7 |
| 29.5 | AST/G | 28.3 |
| 13.7 | TOV/G | 14.0 |
| 8.8 | STL/G | 8.5 |
| 4.8 | BLK/G | 5.0 |
The Cavaliers finished the regular season with a better Net Rating but not by much (+4.1 vs +2.9). Cleveland’s offense rated sixth in the NBA in O-Rating while Toronto’s defense rated fifth in D-Rating, setting up an interesting clash of styles/identities.
Raptors vs Cavaliers Series Pick: TOR +2.5 Games (+115)
The Raptors may be light on postseason experience but the Cavaliers have been overvalued all season. They finished with the single-worst ATS record in the NBA, largely because they were priced like the team that finished first in the East in 2024-25. Cleveland’s point differential dropped from +9.5 last year to +4.1 this season, just 1.3 higher than Toronto (+2.8).
The Raptors have a solid home-court advantage and are basically fully healthy heading into the postseason. Getting them at plus-money to at least force a Game 6 is solid value.