Tyler Glasnow returns from injury to face Quinn Priester in a mismatch on paper that the market doesn’t trust
The public is all over LA with 74% of bets, but sharp money is quietly backing the Brewers on the spread
Read below for Brewers vs Dodgers odds, starting pitchers and predictions for Friday night baseball in LA
Two National League titans clash in Los Angeles tonight. The Milwaukee Brewers visit Dodger Stadium with Quinn Priester taking on Tyler Glasnow in what looks like a lopsided pitching matchup at first glance.
Both teams sport favorable World Series odds and sit near the top of their respective divisions. The Dodgers have been dominant at home, but the Brewers swept them last week and carry a seven-game winning streak into the break. With Glasnow making just his second start back from injury, this sets up as an interesting contrarian spot.
First pitch is scheduled for Friday, July 18, at 7:10 PM PT.
Milwaukee Brewers vs Los Angeles Dodgers Odds
| Bet Type | Milwaukee Brewers Odds | Los Angeles Dodgers Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Run Line | +1.5 (-130) | -1.5 (+105) |
| Moneyline | +160 | -188 |
| Total Runs | Over 8.5 (-110) | Under 8.5 (-110) |
Odds as of July 18, 2025 from BetMGM Sportsbook. Grab a BetMGM promo code to wager on Friday Night Baseball.
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This game offers solid contrarian value. The public is in love with the Dodgers at home, slamming 74% of bets on LA. What’s interesting: while 61% of bets are on the Dodgers run line, 59% of the actual money is on Milwaukee +1.5.
That’s sharp money. The pros see something the public doesn’t.
I’m riding with the sharps here. Glasnow hasn’t pitched regularly in months. Even in his return start, the walks were concerning. The Brewers are patient, don’t strike out, and have momentum with seven straight wins.
Tyler Glasnow, 97mph ⛽️
Welcome back! pic.twitter.com/GezEYUjHcw
— Rob Friedman (@PitchingNinja) July 9, 2025
Getting +160 on a division leader with their hottest pitcher (8-0 in Priester’s starts) is too good to pass up. The Brewers swept these same Dodgers last week. Why should tonight be different?
As for the total, this is where we get really contrarian. A staggering 93% of bets are on the Over. When the public agrees that strongly, I run the other way. Priester keeps the ball on the ground, Glasnow might not go deep, and both bullpens are solid.
Look for a tight, low-scoring game where the Brewers’ momentum and value carry the day.
Public Betting on Brewers vs Dodgers
The MLB public betting splits paint a clear picture:
Moneyline: 74% of bets on LA, but only 79% of money (sharp fade indicator)
Run Line: 61% of bets on LA -1.5, but 59% of money on MIL +1.5 (clear sharp/public divide)
Total: 93% of bets and 92% of money on Over 8.5 (massive public consensus)
With more money than bet percentage on the Brewers spread, that’s textbook sharp action. Combine that with the Brewers’ hot streak and Glasnow’s rust, and you have a good setup for an upset.
Milwaukee swept LA last week. They’ve won eight straight with Priester. The smart money is backing them.
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