It’s “Dinger Tuesday” in the MLB on Tuesday, April 7
This is our second Dinger Tuesday of the 2026 MLB Season, so we need to have action
See below for my three best home run plays for today
They’re saying Dinger Tuesday is dead. They’re saying that the weather today will certainly ruin it. I don’t know. I’m not sure a force like Dinger Tuesday can be stopped, and even if it could, it wouldn’t be stopped by weather. If we’re being honest, I’m not even sure weather exists. I’ve never seen it. But what I have seen is 30+ guys all going yard on the same Dinger Tuesday. That’s what we need to believe in. Lucky for us, I’ve already been through the entire slate today, and there are so many guys that are going deep, it’s not even funny. Let’s talk about three of them. Keep reading.
Home Run Picks For Tuesday (April 7)
| Pick | Odds |
|---|---|
| TJ Rumfield HR | +640 |
| Yordan Alvarez HR | +310 |
| Zach Neto HR | +430 |
Each one of the home run picks for today is at least +310, meaning if we bet the same amount on each player and one of them hit a dinger, we would profit.
Putting all three in a long-shot home run parlay at FanDuel generates +23337 odds with the boost.
MLB odds as of April 7 at FanDuel & DraftKings. Check out SBD’s take on the best sports betting app for MLB.
Home Run Pick #1 – TJ Rumfield to Hit a Home Run
Obviously, we need a “who the hell is that guy” in this thing. It’s Dinger Tuesday, and “who the hell is that guy” types always go yard on Dinger Tuesday. I think they all get together beforehand and figure out who’s going yard, but that’s just speculation. Nothing can be proven. Yet.
For now, we’ll just have to figure it out based on the pitcher matchup, which is just fine with us. TJ is going to see Mike “Tape Measure” Burrows tonight.
| Pitch | Rumsfield Barrel Rate vs RHP (2026) | Burrows Exit Velocity vs LHB (L15) |
|---|---|---|
| Four-seam Fastball | 25% | 93.5 MPH |
We were on TJ last week, and we’re on him again this week. If he goes deep, we profit no matter what happens with the other guys. The thing is, TJ is in Colorado, where home runs instinctively flock like the salmon of the Capistrano. On top of that, he’s going to face Mike “Tape Measure” Burrows, which is another bonus. Burrows throws his four-seamer 40% of the time to lefites, and TJ loves four-seamers. He barrels them at a 25% clip. Feels easy.
The Bet: TJ Rumfield to Hit a Home Run (+640) – Draftkings
DRAFTKINGS SPORTSBOOKOffer
T&Cs
Sign Up Today & Receive Up to
$1,050 in Bonuses!
GAMBLING PROBLEM? CALL 1-800-GAMBLER, (800) 327-5050 or visit gamblinghelplinema.org (MA). Call 877-8-HOPENY/text HOPENY (467369) (NY).
Please Gamble Responsibly. 888-789-7777/visit ccpg.org (CT), or visit www.mdgamblinghelp.org (MD). 21+ and present in most states. (18+ DC/KY/NH/WY). Void in ONT/OR/NH. Eligibility restrictions apply. On behalf of Boot Hill Casino & Resort (KS). Pass-thru of per wager tax may apply in IL. 1 per new customer. Must register new account to receive reward Token. Must select Token BEFORE placing min. $5 bet to receive $300 in Bonus Bets if your bet wins. Min. -500 odds req. Token and Bonus Bets are single-use and non-withdrawable. Token expires 2/1/26. Bonus Bets expire in 7 days (168 hours). Stake removed from payout. Terms: sportsbook.draftkings.com/promos. Ends 1/25/26 at 11:59 PM ET. Sponsored by DK.
LOCK IN PROMO
SIGNUP PROMO
SIGN UP
& GET $1,050BONUS BETS + DEPOSIT BONUS
GET PROMO
Tuesday HR Pick #2 – Yordan Alvarez to Hit a Home Run
We have our “who the hell is that guy?”, now we just need a “hot guy”. To me, a “hot guy” is a guy who is smoking baseballs at the moment. With that being said, there is no one on this planet hotter than Yordan Alvarez. We’re talking video game numbers here, people.
What is even crazier is the fact that he gets to see Kyle Freeland tonight. The hot just get hotter.
| Pitch | Alvarez Barrell Rate vs LHP (2026) | Freeland Exit Velocity vs LHB (2026) |
|---|---|---|
| Sweeper | 16.7% | 89.5 MPH |
Kyle Freeland likes to throw his sweeper to lefties. In his first start of the season, he threw it 43% of the time. Maybe that was team-specific, but I don’t think so. The good news is, if it were, Yordan hits everything Freeland throws better than he hits the sweeper. The thing is, he hits the sweeper a ton. In fact, he hit the last one he saw from a lefty 106 mph, just missing a home run. My guess is, if he sees another one tonight, he won’t miss it. Feels right.
The Bet: Yordan Alvarez to Hit a Home Run (+310) – FanDuel
FANDUEL SPORTSBOOKOffer
T&Cs
Bet $5, Get $250 If Your Bet Wins!
Must be 21+. T&C Apply. Gambling Problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER. Offer not available in AR.
LOCK IN PROMO
SIGNUP PROMO
BET $5
GET $250IF YOUR BET WINS!
BET NOW
Tuesday HR Pick #3 – Zach Neto to Hit a Home Run
Finally, we need an “under the radar” guy to close this thing out. A guy who we’ve all heard of, yet still flies under the radar. The issue with this one is the fact that he won’t be “under the radar” for much longer. Zach Neto is a bona fide stud, and everyone in the world will know it soon.
Matchups with guys like Reynaldo Lopez will only speed up the process.
| Pitch | Neto Barrell Rate vs RHP (2026) | Lopez Exit Velocity vs RHB (L10) |
|---|---|---|
| Four-seam Fastball | 14.5% | 90 MPH |
The thing with Reynaldo Lopez is that he likes to throw the four-seamer, and it is just not that good. The guy throws that pitch 60% of the time to righties, and they absolutely slaughter it. We’re talking a .429 ISO to that pitch. The hardest part about this whole thing was finding which Angel righty to use. They all seem to smash, but none quite as good as Neto. My guess is he sends the first one he sees home with a fan. Feels right.
The Bet: Zach Neto to Hit a Home Run (+430) – FanDuel