2023 TSport 200 picks: Projected NASCAR Truck Series at Indianapolis leaderboard, predictions from top model

The SportsLine Projection Model simulated the 2023 TSport 200 at Indy 10,000 times

April 16, 2026 • 9:22 AM

The 2023 NASCAR Truck Series playoffs begin Friday in Indianapolis. The green flag drops at 9 p.m. ET for the TSport 200 and Ty Majeski is the +300 favorite, followed by Zane Smith at +350, Corey Heim at +400 and Carson Hocever at +550.

Our proven projection model has simulated this race 10,000 times and come up with a surprising leaderboard.

Developed by daily Fantasy pro and SportsLine predictive data engineer Mike McClure, this proprietary NASCAR prediction computer model simulates every race 10,000 times, taking into account a slew of factors including track history and recent results. It has nailed 13 NASCAR winners since 2021! 

For the TSport 200, we can tell you the model is high on Shane Van Gisbergen, even though he's a huge +3000 longshot! And a massive shocker: Heim, one of the Vegas favorites at +400, stumbles big time and doesn't even cracks the top five! There are far better values in this loaded field.

The model is also targeting two other drivers with NASCAR Truck Series at Indy odds of +2200 or longer to make a serious run at the checkered flag!  Anyone who backs these drivers could hit it BIG. You ABSOLUTELY need to see who they are before locking in any NASCAR picks.

So who wins the TSport 200, And which longshots stun the NASCAR Truck Series? ... !