Duke vs Northwestern takes place in Friday night college football action
The latest odds have the Wildcats favored by 2.5 points at home
Read below for Duke vs Northwestern odds, prediction and props
Week 2 of the 2024 college football season features an intriguing cross-conference clash, as the Duke Blue Devils (1-0) travel to Evanston to battle the Northwestern Wildcats (1-0) under the Friday night lights.
The Wildcats opened as short 2.5-point home favorites, with the total set at a low 37.5 points. Kickoff from Lanny and Sharon Martin Stadium is set for 9 p.m. ET on FS1.
What’s the best bet for Duke vs Northwestern Friday night football? Let’s dive into my betting pick.
Duke vs Northwestern Prediction
Despite Duke’s five-game win streak in this series, I’m all over the “Under” in this Week 2 clash. The Blue Devils are in transition with new head coach Manny Diaz and QB Maalik Murphy replacing Mike Elko and Riley Leonard.
Duke’s 26-3 win over FCS foe Elon in Week 1 wasn’t impressive, as the offense struggled, especially in the run game (59 yards). The Blue Devils didn’t pull away until the second half.
Northwestern, meanwhile, rode its strong defense to a gritty 13-6 win over solid Miami-OH in Week 1. The Wildcats held the RedHawks to 40 rush yards, while dual-threat QB Mike Wright threw for 178 yards and ran for 65 and a TD.
The Under has been a strong bet in key CFB betting trends. In the Wildcats’ last 16 home games as a 3.5 to 10-point favorite, the Under is 14-2. The Under has also hit in five of their last six games and seven of the last 10 meetings with Duke.
Considering the strong Week 1 defensive efforts from both teams, along with the likelihood of inclement weather (wind and possible showers) at Martin Stadium, points should be at a premium on Friday night.
Duke-NW CFB Pick:
Under 37.5 Points (-115)
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Duke vs Northwestern Odds
| Team | Spread | Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Duke | +2.5 (-105) | +120 | Over 37.5 (-105) |
| Northwestern | -2.5 (-115) | -140 | Under 37.5 (-115) |
Northwestern opened as a 2.5-point home favorite, with moneyline odds of Wildcats -140 and Blue Devils +120. These opening lines suggest an implied probability of 58.3% for a Northwestern win, while Duke’s chances of springing the upset sit at 45.5%.
The total for this contest is set at a relatively low 37.5 points, which aligns with the impressive defensive performances both teams delivered in Week 1 and the expected weather conditions for Friday night in Evanston.
Notably, sharp bettors have already made an impact, driving the total down from its initial offering of 39.5 to the current number of 37.5. This significant line movement indicates that the wiseguys are forecasting a low-scoring, defensive slugfest.
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