No. 8 Michigan State (23-5) hosts No. 11 Wisconsin (22-6) Sunday at the Breslin Center with a chance to take a big step towards the Big 10 title.
The Spartans have won four in a row and are favored by 4.5 points at home at FanDuel.
We’ve got your big prediction, pick and look at the best odds for this Big 10 clash of national powers.
Fresh off one of the most dramatic wins of the season, Michigan State (23-5, 18-9-1 ATS) hosts Wisconsin (22-6, 18-9-1 ATS) on Sunday at 1:30 p.m. ET at the Breslin Center.
The Spartans stunned Maryland with a buzzer-beating 50-footer by Tre Holloman to win 58-55 for their fourth win in a row.
If Michigan State wins out, they win the Big 10. Wisconsin sits alone in third place, two games back.
We’ve got your back for this Big 10 battle Sunday in East Lansing with a look at the best odds, and our prediction.
Wisconsin vs Michigan State Odds
| Teams | Spread | Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Wisconsin | +4.5 (-110) | +158 | O 145.5 (-110) |
| Michigan State | -4.5 (+105) | -192 | U 145.5 (-110) |
Odds courtesy of FanDuel. Get ready for March Madness with our FanDuel Sportsbook bonus codes.
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Michigan State is set up as favored by a couple of baskets Sunday. Wisconsin, however, has won the last two meetings and covered the spread easily each time. Three of the last five meetings tipped the under.
The Spartans have won their last four games against the spread, including three when they were underdogs straight up. The Spartans are 9-19 over under. Their last five games have all gone low.
Wisconsin brings a different profile to the table. The Badgers are 6-1 in their last seven games against the spread and 17-11 over/under. Three of their last four games have tipped the over.
Wisconsin vs Michigan State Prediction
You know what we get from the Big 10 this time of year, low-scoring defensive battles. I think I like Michigan State on the moneyline, but I feel safer taking Wisconsin and the points.
Wisconsin doesn’t turn the ball over. They rank last in turnovers in the conference and guard John Tonje shoots 38 percent from deep and has scored in double figures in his last 10 games. Wisconsin’s ability to score some easy baskets is what I like here.
Wisconsin vs Michigan State Pick
Wisconsin +4.5 at FanDuel
Under 145.5 at FanDuel
TRE HOLLOMAN AT THE BUZZER!!!!!!! 🚨 @MSU_Basketball pic.twitter.com/clqNj65VHk
— FOX College Hoops (@CBBonFOX) February 27, 2025
Michigan State’s Amazing Trey
It was the shot of the college basketball season, at least up until this point. Michigan State rebounded a long miss by Maryland and Tre Holloman found himself with the ball on the opposite side of the Maryland center court logo. He let it fly. Swish.
Holloman is only shooting 33 percent from three this season and had been bounced in the starting lineup by star freshman Jase Richardson, but his basket elevated the Spartans to No. 1 in the Big 10, at least for now.
I don’t know where Tom Izzo finds these guards every year, but they all seem like clones. They play ferocious defense and have a way of making tough shots. This year, senior Jaden Akins (who has actually played all four years with Michigan State) is that guy. He leads State with 12.7 points a game.
Naismith National Player of the Week John Tonje went OFF against No. 13 Purdue 🤯🔥
32 points
6 rebounds
10-15 FG
4-9 3PT pic.twitter.com/rqIRaoMmIS
— The Portal Report (@ThePortalReport) February 17, 2025
Wisconsin Betting Trends
Wisconsin enters Sunday’s game just 5-4 on the road. The Breslin Center is not a fun place to be for road teams. Tonje is Wisconsin’s lead scoring threat, followed by sophomore John Blackwell who averages 15 points a game.
The Badgers play the pace and space game. They lead the Big 10 in three-point attempts at just under 11 a game and they make them. They are first in the Big 10 at 38 percent from three. It’s quite a contrast from Michigan State who is last in the Big 10 in shooting the three.
Looking for an X factor? 6-11 Wisconsin forward Nolan Winter and 7-footer Steven Crowl give the Badgers a slight height advantage inside.
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