2025 SportsLine Upset Bracket Full of Surprises

SportsLine simulated every possible matchup 10,000 times and the team that won over half the simulations was selected to advance. In order to "simulate the madness," we also assumed that the Nos. 3-6 seeds with the lowest win percentage when compared to other teams of the same seed would be upset. With this approach, we've nailed 24 double-digit seed upsets in the first round!

April 16, 2026 • 5:36 AM

SOUTH - North Carolina beats No. 6 Ole Miss in the opening round, even though UNC had only one Quad 1 win this season. In addition, No. 13 Yale beats No. 4-seed Texas A&M, even though the Aggies, even though they were ranked as high as No. 7 in the AP poll. In addition, Creighton beats Louisville in the all-important 8-9 first-round matchup, even though the Bluejays are barely inside the top 150 in scoring offense (75.2 points per game).

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